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Welcome to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Division of Strategic National Stockpile (SNS) Modeling Forum. This forum’s purpose is to promote the exchange of ideas, models and simulations designed to improve emergency response efforts and public health. Our initial focus is on the SNS efforts to plan and model the response efforts required in the aftermath of an aerosolized anthrax attack on a US population, which is our most difficult mission in terms of urgency [the entire affected population would have to be provided prophylaxis with in 48 hours], however we encourage dialogue amongst all of our colleagues who are modeling various aspects and attributes of emergency response and other public health missions. It is with this exchange of ideas and information in mind, that we encourage you to suggest forum topics, and links to other forums, news articles, publications, blogs and websites that you feel are pertinent to the goals of this site.

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Click here to watch a two-minute demo of TourSolver. While the demo presents the standard out-of-the-box version of TourSolver, which is not customized for the specific needs of disaster planning, it provides a general overview of the features of the SNS TourSolver version, provided on the Portal.

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SNS Modeling
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Topic Title: SNS Modeling and Simulation Tools and Free PPB Consulting Services
Topic Summary: Collaborative Analysis of SNS Operations and Processes
Created On: 9/28/2009 8:35 AM
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 9/28/2009 8:35 AM
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ksalawu
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Joined: 7/9/2008

DSNS Offers Free Modeling and Simulation Services to Project Areas

As part of its technical assistance role, the CDC’s Division of Strategic National Stockpile (DSNS) is offering its project areas free model design and event simulation services to enhance public health preparedness. Modeling and simulation tools, in conjunction with live exercises, provide a cost effective way to better understand available SNS resources and perform systematic data collection and analysis. The computer simulation approach, as seen in the three applications below, is one of the most powerful engineering analysis tools for designing and controlling the performance of processes and operations in systems.


Examples of Available Software Tools

Arena is a discrete-event simulation language that DSNS uses to simulate supply-chain dynamics and distribution of medical countermeasures. This application can be used to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of anything that moves and incorporates industry-leading graphical and animation features, making the simulation more realistic.
An example of a successful application of Arena to solve client problems includes simulating traditional and drive-through points of dispensing (PODs) to identify bottleneck stations, redesign client flow, optimize staffing needs and increase POD throughput. Arena also can be customized and integrated with popular applications like spreadsheets, databases and Visual Basic for Applications.

MATLAB is a high-level, technical computing language and interactive environment for algorithm development, data analysis and visualization, and numeric computation. With public health concerns, MATLAB is widely used to build mathematical and simulation models for predicting and controlling the spread of epidemics like novel H1N1 influenza virus. Some of MATLAB’s most relevant toolboxes include:
• Statistics Toolbox provides tools for assessing, understanding and visualizing data.
• Optimization Toolbox includes the implementation of operations research functions.
• Database Toolbox allows the user to query and exchange data between MATLAB and databases.
• Report Generator automatically documents performed tasks and captures graphics.
• MATLAB Builder allows for distributing and deploying applications and algorithms as Excel spreadsheet add-ins for states and local public health agencies.

TransCAD, a decision support system for transportation data management and analysis, allows users to store, retrieve, analyze and visualize all types of transportation and related geographic and demographic data. This application combines digital mapping, geographic database management, geographic information system and presentation graphics with tools to apply sophisticated transportation, operations research and statistical and econometric models.
By using the TransCAD application, project areas can experience realistic route and network representations, including delays and restrictions for turn movements at intersections. As such, in a New Orleans flood-like disaster, road closings can easily be represented and flexible plans developed around the transportation networks – road, rail and waterway – that are still viable.


How to Apply for Consultation Services

These simulation and modeling applications are powerful, yet difficult to learn or master. To alleviate any concerns over project area staff or resources, DSNS is providing free consultation to define and formulate custom simulation projects. Clients are encouraged to engage modeling and simulation services during planning stages of exercises so the modeling team can offer advice and test designs ahead of deployment and implementation.

For more information on accessing DSNS simulation consulting services, please contact Kas Salawu at ksalawu@cdc.gov or 404-639-0827.